Given the forecast cone from the NHC, this system is expected to reach tropical storm strength on Monday.
Over the next 48 hours, the system has a 20 percent chance of developing in to a tropical cyclone and a 70 percent chance of becoming a cyclone over the next five days.
The hurricane season, which doesn't end till November 30, is expected to be rougher than usual, with 11 to 17 named storms likely to strike. Tropical storm-force winds begin at 39 miles per hour. This system is going to continue to track to the west/northwest. The storm is expected to slow as it moves near or over Trinidad and the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and early Tuesday, forecasters said.
(The "A" storm this year was Arlene, a weak tropical storm that formed in the ocean well before the start of hurricane season). This storm is forecast to stay a tropical storm before fizzling out. That swath of heavy rain could possibly set up over the Florida Panhandle, if the storm where to make a more Central landfall in the Northern Gulf Coast, say Louisiana or Mississippi. Regardless of the eventual track, the system will send abundant tropical moisture up into Alabama and Georgia, leaving us with ample opportunity for daily showers and thunderstorms.
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"Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning areas overnight tonight, making outside preparations hard or risky", the Dominica Meteorological Service said.
The next name on the list is Bret.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30.
It is expected to dissipate in about 72 hours.
The area of disturbed weather near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is forecast to move into the Gulf of Mexico early this week.